Comments on: Holden-McCaskill Update http://blogkc.com/archives/2004/06/holden-mccaskill-update/ A Weblog for Kansas City, Missouri. Thu, 29 Jul 2010 02:19:11 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: BlogKC http://blogkc.com/archives/2004/06/holden-mccaskill-update/comment-page-1/#comment-193 BlogKC Fri, 25 Jun 2004 23:38:24 +0000 http://blogkc.com/archives/2004/06/holden-mccaskill-update/#comment-193 After looking at the polls more closely, it seems that the earlier polls included people who were leaning one or the other. The two newest polls count people that are definitely decided. So Holden has a strong core that isn't wavering, but much of the undecided is at least leaning somewhat towards Holden. Regardless, if Holden can't get above 50% in even the most favorable poll, then it doesn't look good for him. After looking at the polls more closely, it seems that the earlier polls included people who were leaning one or the other. The two newest polls count people that are definitely decided. So Holden has a strong core that isn’t wavering, but much of the undecided is at least leaning somewhat towards Holden. Regardless, if Holden can’t get above 50% in even the most favorable poll, then it doesn’t look good for him.

]]> By: missouri http://blogkc.com/archives/2004/06/holden-mccaskill-update/comment-page-1/#comment-192 missouri Fri, 25 Jun 2004 03:56:03 +0000 http://blogkc.com/archives/2004/06/holden-mccaskill-update/#comment-192 I wouldn't call the poll "suspect". Campaign's dont spend $40,000 on a poll to have the pollster make up the numbers. They want a true as possible snapshot of the race at a given time. Also the National Journal Hotline reported to day that: A Decision Research (D) poll; conducted 6/12-14 for an undisclosed client; surveyed 400 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 6/23). Dems tested: Gov. Bob Holden and State Auditor Claire McCaskill (Hotline sources, 6/24). Dem Primary Matchup Holden 49% McCaskill 34% Undec. 17% Holden's numbers are looking even less suspect. I wouldn’t call the poll “suspect”. Campaign’s dont spend $40,000 on a poll to have the pollster make up the numbers. They want a true as possible snapshot of the race at a given time.

Also the National Journal Hotline reported to day that:

A Decision Research (D) poll; conducted 6/12-14 for an undisclosed client; surveyed 400 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 6/23). Dems tested: Gov. Bob Holden and State Auditor Claire McCaskill (Hotline sources, 6/24).

Dem Primary Matchup

Holden 49%
McCaskill 34%
Undec. 17%

Holden’s numbers are looking even less suspect.

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